The Philospher's Stone

pengolodh_sc at yahoo.no pengolodh_sc at yahoo.no
Wed Jun 6 21:10:05 UTC 2001


--- In HPFGU-OTChatter at y..., "Amy Z" <aiz24 at h...> wrote:
> Christian wrote:
> 
> He debunks and corrects all sorts of 
> > scientific nonsense in Norwegian media, from mere
> > miscalculations  from a journalist who doesn't know how to add,
> > to cases of blatant fraud and sensationalism (the DU-case, the
> > alleged population-explosion, etc.)..
> 
> The population isn't exploding?  Please explain.
> 
> Amy Z

What I am referring to is the oft recurring myth that the world's 
population *will* double within the next 30 (sometimes 50) years.  
However, recent prognosises indicate that there is a 64% probability 
that the world's population never will reach 12 billion people.  Even 
by the most pessimistic prognosis, there will be at least 60 years 
until a doubling occurs.  

The book _State of the World_, published 1994 by Worldwatch 
Institute, estimates that the world's population will stabilise on 
11.5 billion.  

Of course, this doesn't mean that there will not be problems, since, 
while the population seems to have stabilised, or even begun to 
stagnate, in the industrialised part of the world, Africa can expect 
its population to have tripled by the time its population  stabilises.

If you want to, I will try to find further sources for these 
prognosises.

Best regards
Christian Stubø





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