I voted!!! was Re: Obama and daughter HP fans

[Geoff Bannister]

--- In HPFGU-OTChatter at yahoogroups.com, Kai Wen Lee <leekaiwen at ...> wrote:
>
> Alla earlier:
> 
> I **hope** you are right, believe me I do. But personally I do not
> think that few percents differents in the poll matters that much. I
> mean, they are polling only sample audience, no? I know they are
> supposed to represent whole population, but I just do not think it is.
> 
> CJ now:
> 
> In both 2000 and 2004, the average of the final major national polls was well within 
their margins of error; in 2004, the average deviated from actual election results by less 
than a percent.
> 
> Polls just aren't wrong.

Geoff:
That's a potentially dangerous statement. Here in the UK, we have 
certainly have had examples in the recent past when predictions for 
General Election outcomes were way off beam.

And wasn't there an (in)famous US occasion involving - was it Truman 
and Dewey about 1945-ish? - when the pollsters made a dog's 
breakfast of their predictions?