[HPFGU-OTChatter] I voted!!! was Re: Obama and daughter HP fans

[Cabal]

Those where "exit polls." Those where polls taken as people left the voting
centers not polls taken by phone survey before the election. 

Most polls that are within 5 - 6 points are in the margin of error which is
why we have certain states that are "battleground" because they are in that
margin.

Polls are correct in political races most of the time, if they are conducted
in a broad manner. For example, the GOP will tell you their guy, McCain is
only 2-5 pts behind Obama nationally, but they are doing the polling and it
slants in their favor. The New York Times will give Obama a 10 -12 pt lead,
but, again, they are liberal and polling a liberal base so they are slanted.
CNN will take several polls and average them together. Tada! Obama has a 7 -
10 pt lead. Because they know that year after year, election after election,
the average of the polls and the election results are twins. In 2000 they
made the mistake of taking any poll above its margin for accurate, this lead
to media being sure that Gore was going to win, and when Florida was close,
they felt comfortable calling it. But, less than 400 ballots and the supreme
court decided that election, no one could have predicted that, except, the
polls where a statistical dead heat, so yeah, it could and did flip either
way. One got the popular vote, the other the electoral college. 

Polls are accurate, if you read them correctly.

md

-----Original Message-----
From: HPFGU-OTChatter at yahoogroups.com
[mailto:HPFGU-OTChatter at yahoogroups.com] On Behalf Of Geoff Bannister
Sent: Saturday, November 01, 2008 3:56 AM
To: HPFGU-OTChatter at yahoogroups.com
Subject: [HPFGU-OTChatter] I voted!!! was Re: Obama and daughter HP fans


And wasn't there an (in)famous US occasion involving - was it Truman 
and Dewey about 1945-ish? - when the pollsters made a dog's 
breakfast of their predictions?