Bet

[emmajess29]

No: HPFGUIDX 59145

--from Cathy--
I just think they really know their Quidditch teams and seekers. They 
are great fans. I don't believe any of the theories that they time-
traveled or anything else to know the outcome.

--from DangerMouse--
"The Irish Chasers were too good... He (Krum) wanted to end it on his 
terms, that's all." How very true. 
Before Krum caught the Snitch, the score was Bulgaria: 10, Ireland: 
170. Quite substantial! If we assume that Fred and George were aware 
of Bulgaria/Ireland's recent Quidditch matches, the effectiveness of 
each of the teams' chasers, and a little about Krum's style, the bet 
would be fairly likely actually. Had Krum been more patient, just 
long enough to be 140 points behind, he would have probably been able 
to get the Snitch (though his Wrongski Feints would have probably 
snapped the Irish Seeker's neck eventually).

--from Rach--
Another reason for the unusual bet might be the fact that it is so 
unlikely. Bagman says "I'll give you excellent odds on that one." 
(Gof US 89). Thus, the twins will get a greater return on their bet 
than if they had just picked Ireland to win. I'm not the sports 
betting expert, but I think in the case of a huge favorite (which I 
think Ireland was on the strength of their complete team), the odds 
are so great that you have to bet a ton of money to get any return. 
Like horse racing when you have 1-3 odds , you have to bet $300 to 
get a $100 return if your horse wins. (I hope that's right, please 
correct me if I'm wrong).


--my answer--
Thank you three for your answers, that's very nice of you !
I didn't think of that but it seems really likely. That's true that 
Fred and George had more to win if they bet on this and they're 
really the kind of guys to do that sort of things !
Thanks again ; everyone seems to be so nice around here !
EmmaJess