OOP: Prophecy - Why Believe It? Not all predictions are correct

[rane_ab]

No: HPFGUIDX 63769

--- In HPforGrownups at yahoogroups.com, "aussiemarg" 
<threebeautifulboys at h...> wrote:
> 
> 
> SNIP
> > I finally finished the book last night and the question I was 
left 
> > with was why does anyone believe the prophecy?  I mean it was 
> given 
> > to DD by Sybill Trewalney, the one teacher at Hogwarts that can't 
> > teach.  She never "saw" anything else in her time at Hogwarts
(that 
> we 
> > know about so far) and by all student accounts (and DD's smile 
> when 
> > Harry said he fell asleep in class in a previous book) she knew 
> squat 
> > about predicting the future.
> SNIP 
> 
> I believe the prophecy is real. In PoA (ch 22; p 311 in Australian 
> edition) Harry tells Dumbledore about Trelawney's prediction - that 
> Voldemort's servant would rejoin him and V would rise greater and 
> more terrible before - and asks "Was she making a real prediction?"
> 
> DD ..."That brings her total of real predictions up to two. I 
should 
> offer her a pay rise".
> 
> Obvious now that her first real prediction was the one referred to 
> in OOP.
> 
<SNIP>

I'm  not sure about this prophecy. I do believe that Trelawnay made a 
real prediction here, but... Isn't Firenze constantly hammering on 
about the fact that you can't ever predict anything for sure? That 
even the stars can be wrong? And then we have McGonagall's remark in 
PoA that predicting the future is a very vague branch... Could it be 
that JKR is planting clues leading to this being one of the 
predictions that *don't* come true? I mean, even if Trelawney's 
second prediction did prove to be accurate (which probably shows that 
Trelawney isn't being a fraud on those two occasions), well, 
actually, that makes it more likely for her other prediction not to 
be so...

Just a thought - sorry if sb else mentioned it before.

Cheerful greetings,
Rane.