Chances of being alive at the end of Book 7

[T.J.]

No: HPFGUIDX 82360

I've been running through a little list in my head...trying to think 
through who's likely to be dead and who's likely to be alive by the 
end of Book 7.  My personal belief (I know others disagree) is that 
JKR still sees HP basically as a series of young-adult (not 
children's) novels, and is somewhat (though ont entirely) bound by 
the conventions of that genre, so that although there will be deaths 
in order to demonstrate the total evil of Voldemort and company, 
there will not be a wholesale mass slaughter of the "good" wizards, 
to the extent that the future will seem bleak at the end.  So, 
basically I think there will be 2, possibly 3 more deaths of 
significant characters, but I'm trying to work out who's likely to 
die and who will survive.  Anyone else care to join me in betting on 
the names on this list (or adding other names I've forgotten about)?

Harry- Survives. I'm 100% certainly JKR is not going to kill off the 
main character.

Hermione -- Survives.  99% certain.

Ron -- Survives...I think.  But I'm only about 60-70% certain.  Ron 
is my favourite character and I do sometimes wake up at 4 a.m. with 
bleak thoughts and think that Ron might be killed off.  I don't think 
it's likely, but it could happen.

Dumbledore-- Dead, Dead, Dead.  I'm 100% certain DD will not be alive 
at the end of Book 7, having died heroically to save Harry/the 
world/whatever.

Hagrid--Survives...I think.  But I'd say I'm only about 50-60% sure 
of this. All the pre-OOP predictions I had seen about who was going 
to die had the money on Hagrid.  He is such a universal favourite I'm 
still a little concerned he may be a sacrificial lamb.

Neville Longbottom--Dead.  80% certain.  Neville is being groomed for 
a larger part in the series, with his role in the prophecy and his 
growing strength of character.  I'm quite certain there will not be 
more than one Hogwarts student die in the series--I don't see JKR 
killing off too many younger characters.  I'd say most likely Neville 
will be the only other student to die, again (like  DD) heroically, 
but if he survives, then Ron won't.  It's one or the other as far as 
I can see.

Snape--Survives.  But I'm only giving this about a 70% certainty.  I 
could see him getting killed off.

Draco--Survives.  You can't kill his kind.  I hope his father goes 
down in a big way, but I'm not counting him as a major character.

Everyone else I can think off offhand--all the rest of the Weaseleys, 
the Dursleys, other Hogwarts students, Remus Lupin...I confidently 
expect to survive.

I'd love to know other people's thoughts on who's going to make it 
and who's going to bite the big one.

tj