Chances of being alive at the end of Book 7

[Renee Daniels]

No: HPFGUIDX 82402


> The Sergeant Majorette says
> 
> <<Harry- Survives. I'm 100% certainly JKR is not going to kill off 
> the main character.>>
> I couldn't see Harry living happily ever after, but the point made 
> that there is no lesson if the hero dies gives me hope. 

Me: 
Before OotP I would have said Harry Lives. Period. But now I'm not 
so sure, the existance of an afterlife and reunion with his family 
opens up the possiblity of 'Happy Death' like Lewis' Narnia 
Chronicals. In he end of the last book (The Last Battle?) he killed 
off not only the major charactors of that instalment, but the major 
charactors of every single book that came before it and did a big 
happy runion scene after the end of the world. Not saying its 
likely, but its a possiblity. Harry Lives: 65%



> <<Hermione -- Survives.  99% certain.>>
> Yeah. JKR wouldn't kill herself off.
> 
> <<Ron -- Survives...I think.>>

I group them together and say that they live depending on the 
relationships (not necissarily SHIPs). But if any two of the Trio 
die, the third man is toast, too. R&H Live: 90%


> <<Dumbledore-- Dead, Dead, Dead.>>
> To reiterate: dead, and dead again.

Once again, OotP has shifted my veiws. Dumbledore the Nearly 
Omnicent, and Dumbledore the Fix-Anything HAD TO DIE in order for 
Harry to come into his own. But OotP has succefully killed both 
those Dumbledores (Unless you subscribe to MAGIC DISHWASHER) and 
left Dumbledore the Human, who isn't so much of a literary road 
block. That said, I still think he's probably going to kick it. 
Dumbledore Lives: 40%

> <<Hagrid--Survives...I think.>>
> Please, no. Love Robbie Coltrane, but Hagrid's beginning to get on
> my nerves big time. Also Harry's beginning to see Hagrid's faults.

Yep, he's getting on my nerves too, unfortunately I think we're 
stuck with him. Hagrid Lives: 80% Hagrid Lives to book 7: 100%

> <<Neville Longbottom--Dead.>>
> Setting up Neville as an alternate hero effectively dooms him and 
> saves Harry.
> 

Yep. Toast. In a blaze of Gryffindor Bravery that does his Gran 
proud. Neville Lives: 0%

> <<Snape--Survives. But I'm only giving this about a 70% certainty.
> I could see him getting killed off.>>
> If he survived, he'd have to mellow out -- feh. I'd like to see 
> him die heroically and become a Hogwarts ghost; maybe thereby 
> releasing Sir Nicholas and becoming, reluctantly, the Gryffindor 
> ghost!

Snape = Toast. Dies by the misguided actions of the ministry or 
trying to save one of the Students. Snape Lives: 10%

> <<Draco--Survives.  You can't kill his kind.>>
> He's Harry's foil. I think we are going to see some character 
> development for him, and I think he'll survive.

Qualified. If Harry lives Draco dies. If Harry dies Draco lives, 
reformed. Draco Lives: 35%

> <<...all the rest of the Weaseleys, the Dursleys, other Hogwarts 
> students, Remus Lupin...I confidently expect to survive.>>
> I thought Molly Weasley was going to be the big death of Book V. I 
> still think she's doomed. I see her death as giving Arthur the 
> hard shell he'll need as postwar Minister of Magic. Ginny could 
> die by the same narrative logic as Neville. And yes, there *are* 
> too many Weasleys. At least one of the boys (not Ron) is going to 
> die. The most traumatic death (which would fulfill the "difficult 
> to write" and "ruthless" conditions that JKR has set) would be one 
> of the twins. Percy also is in narrative-logic trouble.

Molly Weasley Lives: 100% There aren't enough women to kill her off. 
(McGonagall could bite the dust though.)

I think Fred and George will live too for similar reasons. The tone 
of the story changes too much with the death of the comic relief 
(and killing one is the death of both). JKR's already destroyed one 
prankster, she doen't need anouther. Also, they are unique in that 
they aren't tailoring their lives to fit the war. This may change in 
the next book, but for now, Gred and Forge Live: 100%

The most logical Weasley Death is Percy, and like Snape and Neville 
he'd go out doing the work of the Order. Percy Lives 20%

> One of the Dursleys could die, prompting the redemption of the 
> surviving two, and Lupin will live as the last of the Marauders.
> 
> --JDR

The Dursleys Die spectacuraly prompting a Muggle/WW clash as secrecy 
becomes more difficult. And Lupin is Toast. No Good reason there 
exept I can't stand the thought of the Last Marauder Standing. It 
seems too lonely. The exception is if he hooks up with Tonks or 
somebody (and they live), then Lupin's survival sky rockets to 50%

~Calimora (My take on the mess. Alternitively you could flip a 
random Potter book open to a random page and say that everybody 
mentioned on the page dies. It'd probably be about as accurate.)