Crying wolf?

[alshainofthenorth]

No: HPFGUIDX 81924

--- In HPforGrownups at yahoogroups.com, B Arrowsmith <arrowsmithbt at b...>
wrote:

> At that time he has no idea that Sirius had transferred his Secret 
> Keeper duties to Peter (PoA p 252 UK  ed.). No one has. Yet the first 
> thing he does after disarming Harry is to put the words into Sirius' 
> mouth. All Sirius has to do is nod. No demands as to what's happening, 
> no questions. No argument, persuasion or exposition needed; the later 
> questioning of Peter is redundant. Lupin *knows*.
> Just seeing the names on the map would not have given him this 
> immediate grasp  of the situation. The first natural reaction would be 
> a toss-up between "Sirius! Harry's in danger!" and "Peter! He's not 
> dead after all! What the hell is going on?" Remember, at this stage 
> Peter still is assumed to be an innocent victim. So he rushes off, from 
> his office to the Shack.  Without telling anyone.
> But somehow he has  all the answers, just from the map. Likely?
> 

I think you're leaving out an important step of Lupin's thought
process here. 
"But then[...] why hasn't he shown himself before now? Unless [...] he
was the one...unless you switched...without telling me?"

If Peter's conscience had been clean, why would he have gone into
hiding as a rat, for twelve years? Not even telling his family and
friends that he was alive? The remaining Death Eaters would have been
far more upset about being double-crossed than about the heroic
capture of a spy.

Mme Rosmerta was commenting on how unlikely it was that Sirius would
have joined Voldemort, I wonder if other people did so too or if they
just accepted it. Did Remus?

Alshain, just wondering