The Timing of Lupin WAS Re: Dumbledore and Lupin

[Cathy Drolet]

No: HPFGUIDX 109158

Kneasy:
"Fudge, who just happened to be at Azkaban the night before Sirius escapes,
(pure coincidence of course - and if you believe that you might want to buy
this 100% genuine gold brick) has loosed the Dementors."

DuffyPoo:
Hmm...my book doesn't say anywhere that Fudge was at Azkaban 'the night before' Sirius escaped.  Fudge said he was out there on an inspection, and gave Sirius the paper because he said he missed doing the crossword puzzle.  Sirius says "But then I saw Peter in that picture ... I realized he was at Hogwarts with Harry ... perfectly positioned to act." He later says "So you see, I had to do something.  I was the *only one who knew Peter was still alive*...It was as if someone had lit a fire in my head...blah blah blah ...So, *one* night when they opened the door to bring me food, I slipped past them as a dog."  One night, not "that night." I imagine it took Sirius a few hours at least, a day or two propbably, to formulate his plan. Harry had gotten that picture from Ron, in the early hours of his 13th birthday, shortly after 1 a.m..  The picture showed the Weasleys in front of a pyramid, Percy was wearing a fez with his Head Boy badge attached to it. The newspaper clipping said the Weasley's would be spending a month in Egypt, Ron said they would be back about a week before school started. The picture could have been taken anytime during the last week of July, Ron saving it to send with Harry's birthday card. Harry found out about Black's escape a few hours later on the Muggle news. Fudge had informed the Muggle Prime Minister of Black's escape but would he have done that the moment Black escaped or would he not have waited a few days to see if the Dementors could get him back first?


Kneasy
"You really don't think that DD didn't know who's inside that ratskin do you?
For all these years, a rat is accepted without question when students are 
allowed an owl, cat or toad?"


DuffyPoo:
You've forgotten Lee Jordan's giant tarantula that he brought with him in his third year. 

I can't believe that DD knew Scabbers was PP for at least eight years and did nothing about it.  We can't forget that DD didn't know about the three unregistered animagi running around Hogwarts, or are you saying he turned a blind eye to them? I think Lupin may have let him in on the secret, or Sirius told him himself over the next year, as DD recognizes the black dog in the pumpkin patch as Sirius/Snuffles at the end of GoF.  DD believed Black had betrayed the Potters to LV although he was supposed to be James' best friend.  It is easy enough to force an animagus to transform, we saw that.  There's probably an anti-tranformation jinx in DD's storehouse of spells, like the anti-disapparation jinx he used in the DoM.  He could have forced him to tranform, jinxed him, and turned him in to the Ministry.  HP could have had his Godfather back for all those years, even if he couldn't live with him because of the required blood protection charm at the Dursleys.  What would have been DD's point in keeping Scabbers' secret?  Azkaban was supposed to be escape-proof and the Dementors take away a wizard's powers after a time.  He wouldn't have considered the possibility that Sirius could escape and he would need Pettigrew for another purpose later.

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