The Timing of Lupin WAS Re: Dumbledore and Lupin

[arrowsmithbt]

No: HPFGUIDX 109163

--- In HPforGrownups at yahoogroups.com, "sbursztynski" <greatraven at h...> wrote:
> 
>  I always assumed that Lupin got the job because a DADA teacher was
> needed and DD, 
> kind soul that he is, gave a go to an unemployed werewolf who was,
> after all, a good 
> teacher. Is DD really that much of a manipulator? For that matter, is
> he really that on the 
> ball? If he did know Peter was alive and where he was, why wasn't he
> fighting to get Sirius 
> out of Azkaban? Even Lupin thought Sirius had done it until the night
> at the Shrieking 
> Shack - he said so - and he was one of Sirius's two best friends.  if
> I thought DD was really 
> so heartless as to let a man he believed innocent rot in Azkaban
> without even *trying* to 
> help and then hired Lupin only to keep an eye on Harry, I'd be very
> disappointed in him.

There is a small, well - smallish group of cold-eyed and cold-hearted
posters that do not accept DD as the kindly old duffer who just happens
to turn up at the end of each book to explain to Harry just what the hell 
has been going on. DD is a manipulator and fixer, for all his gentle smiles.
He's Puppetmaster!DD. (Lots of previous threads on this.)

OK, in this instance - he knows that Scabbers is Peter. What does that tell
him? That the showdown between Peter and Sirius is not the one generally
accepted. It does not tell him that Sirius is innocent. If fact, so far as canon
goes, Sirius never claims to be innocent until the Shrieking Shack. Even DD
seems to accept that Sirius was Secret Keeper and must be the betrayer.

The whole Godric's Hollow incident is swept under the carpet by the MoM;
there is no trial and 13 dead Muggles have to be covered up as well. A
Sirius helpless with laughter is picked up at the site of a massacre and
bunged straight in the slammer. Case solved. Nobody, not the Ministry
(especially the Ministry) wants this can of worms opened again. (You'll
note that  nobody suggests that Sirius has a realistic chance of being
cleared even after he's escaped and started talking. And Fudge plans on 
administering the Kiss asap. and looks forward to issuing a press release. 
It all smells of cover-up.) 

DD may have had his suspicions but what can he do about them? 
Effectively nothing except watch and wait. 

Peter is in hiding - obviously. Who from? Sirius is in the chokey, a place
that's just about impossible to get out of, and Voldy's vanished. The
reasonable assumption is that Peter is hiding from someone nasty - DEs.
But if Sirius was the traitor then the DEs might be trying to avenge Sirius.
And there are still some about. Better let Peter stay in hiding and keep an
eye on him.

But when Sirius escapes the situation looks like coming to a head.
Who is available who might be able to talk to, to influence, Sirius? Ah, yes!
His old friend Lupin. He might be able to  get near to Sirius without
getting his head blasted off. He also knows Peter and can get close to
Harry. He's a friend of Harry's parents after all. Just the man for the job.
DD might like Lupin, even trust him (read pippin for alternative views),
but Hogwarts is not  a refuge for the unemployable. A werewolf as a
teacher? Once rumours of that got out the solids would really hit the fan,
potion or no potion. Lupin is there for a reason, and it ain't charity.

Except for very brief periods Harry is watched and protected. Fudge
more or less admits watching Privet Drive "Don't want to lose you again,"
then Harry is esconced in Diagon Alley and when he gets on the train
who's there but Lupin. 

Don't you find it odd that Lupin is the only teacher to use the Hogwarts
Express? That he's the one who can produce a Patronus when one of the 
Dementors oh so conveniently let loose by Fudge approaches Harry?
Does anyone believe that  Sirius Black, the most  wanted wizard in the
WW could have infiltrated Kings Cross, a small space absolutely heaving
with wizards, and sneaked on board? So why was the Dementor on the
train? Because Harry was. But Harry might need help if it got  too sniffy. 
So a wizard that can produce a Patronus could be handy, yes?
(We'll ignore for the moment the theory I posted that Sirius was sprung 
by Fudge to give him an excuse to let loose the Dementors and that their
orders were to get Harry, not Black. The Dementor had a reason to be 
on the train whether you go for that one or not.) 

DD feels responsible for Harry. If it looks like there might be danger
looming he's not going to rely on Fudge and his minions. He wants
his own man on the spot. And in this instance it's Lupin.


Kneasy
proud to wear the badge of the League of Conspiracy Theorists. 
Remember, paranoia can be fun.