Analyzing Plot Twists: Simplify, Simplify!

[Tara]

No: HPFGUIDX 103057

 
> The Sergeant Majorette says
> 
<snip>
> 
> Second, has anybody noticed that the answers to the questions we beat 
> to death before a book comes out are *always* a couple of orders of 
> magnitude simpler than the conclusions we'd come to?



Tara: 
Yes!  Thank you for noticing that.  I've been reading all kinds of
theories and ideas being tossed around on this list, and while most
are quite interesting and creative, they are generally so far fetched
and complex as to be completely unlikely to happen in canon.  We hear
the clip-clop and think zebra when it's really just horse.

We all love the twists and surprises that Jo does include in her
books, and we'd love to be able to predict the next big bombshell, but
I think most stuff is really just what it appears to be: James, Lily,
and Sirius are really dead; Petunia and Dudley are really Muggles;
Harry and Hermione are not related; everybody else is pretty much who
they appear to be; and so on.  Maybe we invent these notions because
we'd like certain facts to be changed (Harry's parents not to be
really dead, for a start).

There will certainly be unexpected events, but I think we make them
more complicated than they need to be.  After all, the prophecy about
Harry was just that he would be Voldy's downfall, pretty simple,
really (and one that I expected from Book 1 - obviously inspired by
King Herod and Pharaoh and the little boys they tried to destroy).

Anyway, it's quite entertaining to imagine what's coming next, but I
think she makes her clues relatively clear (Mark Evans, Neville's
wand, Ron/Hermione, and something being up with the DADA job so that
Dumbledore doesn't want Snape to take that position).

You are free to disagree with me, and in fact, I think that is the point!

cheers,

Tara