Analyzing Plot Twists: Simplify, Simplify!

[nkafkafi]

No: HPFGUIDX 103074

Tara wrote:
Yes! Thank you for noticing that. I've been reading all kinds of
theories and ideas being tossed around on this list, and while most
are quite interesting and creative, they are generally so far fetched
and complex as to be completely unlikely to happen in canon. We hear
the clip-clop and think zebra when it's really just horse.

We all love the twists and surprises that Jo does include in her
books, and we'd love to be able to predict the next big bombshell, but
I think most stuff is really just what it appears to be: James, Lily,
and Sirius are really dead; Petunia and Dudley are really Muggles;
Harry and Hermione are not related; everybody else is pretty much who
they appear to be; and so on. Maybe we invent these notions because
we'd like certain facts to be changed (Harry's parents not to be
really dead, for a start).

There will certainly be unexpected events, but I think we make them
more complicated than they need to be. <Snip>



Neri:

I agree. I estimate about 80% will turn out to be what it appears to 
be, or what it is suggested to be by the most obvious clues. Only 
about 20% will be bombshells in the best of  JKR's tradition. The 
question is, of course, WHICH 20%.

Only two books to go, JKR's has an enormous number of plot threads 
waiting to be tied together. There are so many clues, and even if 
many of them will turn out to be just red herrings, they should still 
turn out to be red herrings in a satisfying way. There are so many 
promising characters that clearly still have to do what they were 
meant to do: Neville, Snape, Lupin, Wormtail, Tonks, Ginny, Luna, 
Percy, Viktor, Firenze. Even Moaning Myrtle. There must be a lot of 
convergence very soon. The most likely theories are those that tie 
together several different threads.

I join Tara in this plea: simplify, simplify!

Neri