getting anything right

[Tracy Hunt]

No: HPFGUIDX 93973

In January, 2003 there were several poles (that remained open until 
the release of OotP) on this site asking for various predictions 
regarding the series so far.  We can go back through those now and 
see how far off base many of us were.  We can also survey the 
scuttled vessels at the bottom of the TBAY with similar results.  
Very few among us have been even a little close on major events and 
still fewer nailed any details.  How does this bode for our current 
theories and speculations?  

Someone (sorry, I cannot remember who at the moment) recently said in 
a post that with all of the information (5 books, 2 schoolbooks, many 
interviews, several chats, etc.) from JKR, it's getting harder
for her to keep us in the dark and that the odds of someone figuring 
it all out are tipping in our favor.  But is that true?  I, for one, 
have been absolutely gobsmacked by most of what I've read in the 
books.  I didn't see it coming until I was practically on top of
it.  Oh, I had glimpses of ideas about a few things – but for the 
most part, I've fallen hook, line and sinker for all of JKR's
ploys.

Unless I'm way behind the curve here, this would seem to mean
that the vast majority of our speculations are going to be blown out 
of the water.  Or is it just playing the odds that if we speculate 
enough, we'll eventually hit something?

Tcy
blissfully ignorant - as usual