DADA job

[Jim Ferer]

No: HPFGUIDX 116331


Karen:"Lupin will not return as DADA professor. He resigned because in
the heat of the moment he forgot to take his potion and put the
students at Hogwarts in danger. If Moody was willing to return, DD
would never had to accept Umbridge as a Hogwarts professor. JKR has
used the DADA post as a catalyst for each book. IMO she will continue
to do this with a different DADA teacher for book 6 & 7."

I believe Lupin could be persuaded to return, given the new reality of
the now open war the wizard world is in.  The old rules are out the
window now.  The same with Moody; the Ministry would not have allowed
Moody, in the interfering atmosphere of last year.  So I think the
Lupin/Moody dual teaching role is possible.  At any rate, I really do
think that DADA instruction should increase. Dramatically.

I agree, though, with the literary reason you cite, and we probably
will get a different DADA teacher for Book 6 and 7. The book 6 teacher
(Bill?) is likely to be a war casualty.

Karen:"If as you say "protecting Harry" is a necessity, why hasn't
Harry been protected for the first 15 years of his life? These are
Harry's stories therefore he must be the one to get into and out of
mortal peril."

He has been protected in many ways; that's not changing, but the need
is far more intense in an open war.  Voldemort has failed to destroy
Harry four times now.  Even though Voldemort doesn't know the full
Prophecy, he is likely to deduce that Harry is the only one who can
truly defeat him; Voldemort almost surely understands that his victory
conditions run right through Harry James Potter.

It's also necessary to protect Harry's friends. From the MoM battle
Voldemort learned, or should have learned, how important Harry's
friends are to him.  Voldemort has suffered a terrible defeat. 
Undermining him covertly at school is closed, the convenient stupidity
of the Ministry has been neutralized, and the wizarding public is
solidly behind Harry and Dumbledore.  What's left?  Hurting Harry
through his friends.  What's Harry going to do if Bellatrix Lestrange
gets her hands on Hermione for a "girls night out," **for real** this
time, not a trick like with Sirius?  Or Ron?

Karen:"I think Molly's boggart was a hint for us to expect some deaths
in the Weasley family. I don't think the trio is in danger prior to
book 7. I also do not think the attack on Hogwarts will come before
the final book so Ginny is probably safe for at least one more book. I
don't expect to see much of G&F in book 6 unless they open a branch
store in Hogsmeade. This is possible but I think that is more a book 7
than book 6 possiblity. That leaves Bill, Charlie, and Percy. Percy
has questionable status as good/bad guy and JKR is not likely to
resolve that in book 6. Charlie is still with the dragons and would be
more likely to take over Hagrid's job than the DADA so that leaves
Bill as the most likely Weasley to die in Book 6."

I think your literary analysis is excellent. The death of one of the
Trio (Ron, IOW) is possible near the end of 6 but I wouldn't
necessarily predict it. Percy, I suspect, is working under deep cover
for the Order and will die getting something very important out. 
Bill? I agree with you.

I think the death we are likely to get in Book 6 is Dumbledore. It
will be the Good side's darkest hour.

Jim Ferer