Looking back to OOtP Predictions (before looking ahead)
Vivamus
Vivamus at TaprootTech.com
Wed Feb 16 13:14:01 UTC 2005
No: HPFGUIDX 124679
Just before OotP came out, this list was inundated with some fascinating
predictions about what would be in the book. I'm assuming the same sort of
feeding frenzy is going to happen concerning HBP now that it is completed,
but before it does, I thought it would be interesting to revisit old
predictions of OotP, and see how accurate/wild they were.
I remember that I had made a lot of predictions, but I had not gone back and
looked at them since OotP came out, to find out how off the mark I was.
Rather than pick apart someone else's theories, here is the source for my
OotP predictions. Some of them were my originals, and some were echoing
what others had said, but I didn't take the time to pick out which is which
in separating them out.
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/HPforGrownups/message/59814
In that post (June, 2003), I predicted
1. Arabella Figg would be the DADA instructor (buzz!)
2. Arabella would be Harry's Secret Keeper for Privet Drive (half-buzz; =
it's still possible, but pretty unlikely now)
3. Ron will be the Gryffindor Keeper (ding!)
4. Hagrid will be the emissary to the Giants (ding!)
5. We will see St. Mungo's (ding!)
6. We will see Lockhart there (ding!), and (7) learn more about why he was a
nasty climber (buzz), but (8) he's coming out as a better person this time
(half-buzz)
9. We will see Neville going to visit his parents there (ding!)
10. We will find out that Neville's memory is bad because of memory charms
placed on him to keep him from suffering (buzz!)
11. The memory charms break, or stop working, and Neville returns to school
knowing for the first time what happened to his parents (buzz!)
12. Neville and Ginny go on a quest to (successfully) help Neville's parents
(half-buzz; it could still happen)
13. Neville's success will open up a whole new world of happiness and
ability for him. (half-ding; it happened, but not because of success)
14. Neville will die saving either his parents or Harry or Ginny (half-buzz!
He came pretty close, though.)
15. Ginny will have been dating Neville through most of OotP (buzz!)
16. Ginny's little-girl crush on Harry will finally be gone for good (ding!)
17. Ginny and Harry will *not* get together in OotP (ding!), but (18) the
way will be paved for them in a future book (ding!)
Let's see, that's eight and a half dings out of eighteen, or 47%, if no
credit is given for the half-buzzes. If you count the half-buzzes as being
half-right as well as half-wrong, it comes to 58%. Not as accurate on this
side as I thought they were on the other side, but there it is.
Anyone else care to dust off their old predictions and see how you did?
Vivamus
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