HP/ Spoiler alert - Nothing New Here

[mycropht33]

No: HPFGUIDX 129538

--- In HPforGrownups at yahoogroups.com, theotokos <theotokos_8679 at s...> wrote:
> Steve <bboyminn at y...> wrote:
> We could just as easily speculate that any poll found at the "Harry
> Potter for Grownups" group, where people are deeply intellectual and
> extremely knowledgable, and respresent the combined massive intellect of the entire 
Harry Potter fan world, are 'in the know' and are certainly correct in their prediction. As a 
matter of fact, that very character always come in highly rated in our death predictions. 
Perhaps tommorrow, The Mirror will indicate that we have 'leaked' the secret.
> 
> ******************
> Good point.  And thanks for letting me know the O.G. source.  That's all I have on this 
subject.  I am still working on my own "predictions" for our contest!
>  
>  
> 
> 
> Theotokos
> 

Statistically speaking, since there is an extremely  finite number of characters up for 
consideration, and there are many people on this group making many predictions, some of 
them will be right.  That doesn't necessarily mean that everyone who predicts this death 
accurately is an intellectual giant.  

I personally have been a member of this group a long time, and have lurked for almost 2 
years now (or better...can't even remember when I joined.)  I am getting really tired of 
people using their "predictions" as some sort of flexing of intellectual muscle.   An 
educated guess is an educated guess.   It doesn't necessarily mean anything.

Sorry for coming off cranky.  It's just been a sore point for me for awhile now.

As far as the article goes, and the possible spoilers contained therein, I'm strongly inclined 
to believe it.

Why?  Well, let me flex some intellectual muscle and take a guess of mine own....

You are a punter working in a printers or a bookbindery for not much scratch at all.   You 
like to bet as a hobby, and you know that bookmakers are running lines on everything 
these days.   You figure, hey, take a peek and place fifty quid on a sure thing.  That's not a 
leak, is it?  Actually, it's not a leak at all.  In fact, you have a vested interest in NOT leaking 
the information to anybody because the longer the odds are, the better.   If you don't tell 
anybody, and the odds are in your favour, you could net a pretty penny.  HOWEVER, if you 
do tell people, the line on the character tightens and you actually stand to lose a fair  
amount of potential winnings.  

A true leak, such as the one punishable by the $3,000,000, is stealing pages and selling 
them to the Daily Mirror.   Taking a peak and running a flutter on that sure thing, then 
bragging to your mates down the pub about it is not really a leak per se, in the mind of 
your average working class Yorkshireman.