DD and Draco's murder attempts(was Draco and Harry)

[quigonginger]

No: HPFGUIDX 153314

> Alla:
> Well, I do understand that DD may not have stopped Draco because he 
> wanted to save him, or because he wanted to let Snape spy, etc, BUT 
> the problem I see with it is that Dumbledore while wanting to save 
> Draco puts other students in horrible danger from Draco hair brained 
> assasination attempts.
> 
> I mean, I am still not sure that DD knew all of Draco's activities, 
> but if he did, oh my... That is beyond reckless IMO.
> 
> I wonder how he would have felt if Katie and Ron WOULD have died. 
> Could he have looked Katy's parents and Arthur and Molly in the eyes 
> with clear conscience and told him. You know, I really wanted to 
> save Draco that is why in the process I let your children die.

Ginger:

Maybe this will put your mind at a bit of ease, Alla.

Let's look at the chronology.  At the beginning of the year, Draco 
comes to school with the intent to kill DD.

Whether or not DD knows this is up for grabs, but just for now, let's 
say he does.  (If he didn't, we couldn't expect him to do anything 
anyway, now, could we?)

So for the first part of the year, Draco does nothing.  DD has to wait 
for him to make a move, if DD knows about it.  Otherwise, it's just 
speculation as to whether or not he will actually do anything.

In mid-October they have the first Hogsmead trip of the year.  Filch 
is checking everyone coming in and out with a Secrecy Sensor.  Katie 
gets the necklace.  We know the rest.

>From mid-October until mid-December there is no mention of Harry or 
anyone in his POV getting or needing anything from outside of 
Hogwarts.  It's only in mid-December that Hermione warns him that 
Romilda is planning to spring a love potion on him.  Harry wants to 
know how she plans to get it into the school, noting that the owls are 
being searched.  This would indicate to me that the searching of the 
owls has been put into effect before mid-December.  Given the use of 
the Secrecy Sensor in mid-October, I'd say even before that.

DD has the handy excuse of the DE activity in the rest of the WW, and 
the protection of the students for that reason, but could he have also 
been attempting to thwart Draco as well?  Again, that's up for grabs.

The next attempt we see is in March on Ron's birthday.  But the 
attempt is not made in March.  Ron is poisoned by mead that was 
intended as a Christmas present for DD.  I think we can safely assume 
that it was purchased before Christmas.  HRH meet Sluggy in Hogsmead 
in October, so he could have bought it then, although being that 
Sluggy is staff, he can probably come and go as he pleases, so it 
could have been purchased at any time.

As staff, Sluggy would probably not have been searched.  Even if he 
was, F&G were still smuggling things in disguised as cough syrups or 
perfumes.  Certainly the mead would have disguised it enough to get 
past Filch, and the Secrecy Sensor would not have been activated as   
Sluggy would have made no secret of the fact that he had bought mead 
for DD for Christmas.

So it's not that DD did nothing, let Katie get poisoned in October, 
still did nothing, and let Ron get poisoned in March; it's that Draco 
had the presence of mind to have a plan A and a plan B.  One was 
intended to happen in October, and the mead was intended to strike at 
Christmas.  After whenever it was that Sluggy brought in the mead, 
Draco doesn't attempt to bring anything into the castle via any route 
other than the vanishing cabinets, which DD certainly didn't know 
about.  

This does raise the question of just how efficient the searching of 
the owls was if F&G could still smuggle things in.

Just some food for thought.

Ginger, who has been informed that there was a problem with her e-mail 
account which effected this group and extends any apologies 
appropriate to the situation.