Draco and Dumbledore/ Molly and Harry-Treated like Family

a_svirn a_svirn at yahoo.com
Wed Oct 18 21:54:14 UTC 2006


No: HPFGUIDX 159929

> Magpie:
> <snip>  I was using "accident" in response to the 
> idea that Dumbledore might have assumed that he was the only 
person 
> in danger because he was the one Draco was targetting.  But 
> absolutely the deadliness of the mead and necklace were both 
> intentional--which is why there is a real danger of Draco hurting 
or 
> killing someone as long as he's doing this.  

a_svirn:
Which only goes to show how poor his risk assessment was since it 
was an accident waiting to happen.

> Magpie:
>Ironically, as far as I 
> can see what keeps Draco from killing anyone else the way he 
almost 
> killed Ron and Katie isn't Dumbledore's or Snape's precautions at 
> all, but the fact that Draco doesn't try any more stunts like 
that.  
> So he's batting two for two up until the cabinet--two murder 
> attempts and two near-deaths. Their surveillance seems to be 
fairly 
> useless. The only time we see it having any effect is when Draco 
is 
> unable to work on the Cabinet the night of the Christmas party (we 
> assume).

a_svirn:
Exactly. Moreover, I don't quite see what the expected value of this 
gamble was supposed to be. If the whole thing was about waiting for 
Draco to make the right choice -- and with Dumbledore's life as an 
initial stake --  the outcome was already evident after Katie's 
incident and even more so after the poisoned wine debacle. On those 
two occasions Draco did chose – to kill. Given that and with 
increasing unpredictability of Draco's actions, I simply don't 
comprehend how Dumbledore could possibly continue his "wait and see" 
policy.






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