Predictions for the End (what I think, hope and know)

[lupinlore]

No: HPFGUIDX 167258

--- In HPforGrownups at yahoogroups.com, "quick_silver71"
<quick_silver71 at ...> wrote:

As Quick Silver has addressed most of the important points, I'll play
off this post:

>
> --Voldemort will be defeated utterly and Harry will survive.

I'll give that one a 99% chance.  Given the genre and drift of the
story, it's hard to see how anything else could work.

>
> --Snape is DDM.

At this point DDM seems to mean pretty much whatever you want it to.
Let's just say that Snapey-poo will end up working against Voldums
for whatever reason.  I'll give it a 75% chance.

>
> --Hermione and Ron will survive.

I'll give this a 95% chance.  It could work out another way but it
would be extraordinarily difficult.


>
> --Draco will be a huge asset to the "good" side.

I'll give Draco being "good" a 50% chance.  I'll give him a 50%
chance of not being much of an asset to either side, and pretty much
a 0% chance of being an asset for Voldy.

>
> --Harry is not a horcrux.

Well, I hate horcruxes.  They are, I think, an unnecessary and
uninteresting addition horned into the story when there were a lot
more interesting things to pursue.  But being as they HAVE been
introduced, and we DO have DD's "in essence divided" crypticism, I'm
going to give Harry, or his scar, a 60% chance of being a horcrux or
something like a horcrux.

>
> --The Dementors will play a rather large role in DH and Snape's
> method of fighting them is most defiantly wrong or flawed in some
way
> that will cost someone their life (Neville? Luna?).

An interesting scenario, but I've often thought that too much is made
of Snape's dementor-fighting-method comments.  I'll give it a 25%.

>
> --The Weasley wedding will be disrupted in some manner...either by
> Death Eaters or an emergency of some sort.

I have no idea about this one, but it sounds plausible, so I'll give
it a wild guess of 50%.

> --Snape will survive.

I'll give that one a 1%.  Based on genre, plot developments, and fit
with a post-Voldums universe, I'd say Snapey-poo is pretty much a
goner.

>
> --The Prank was an attempt to kill Snape plain and simple.

I'll give that one another 1%.  It just doesn't fit well with the
Marauders, even post-OOTP.


> --Harry realizes that Snape is good (on his own...no help from
> anyone) quite early in the book and shamelessly uses it to his
> personal advantage while Snape is totally unaware.

Well, I think that has about a 2% chance of developing.  Snape's
ultimate loyalties are simply too large a plot point to reveal short
of some ultimate or penultimate confrontation.

>
> --Snape isn't simply DDM he's....Marauder!Snape (loyal to the cause
> but independent and with his own code).

That would be OFH!Snape, I guess.  I'll just stick with the 75%
chance of Snapey-poo fighting against Voldums for whatever reason.

>
> --A quantity of Weasley's, at least one professor, and several
> students perish.

I don't know about a quantity, but I'll give a 90% chance that at
least one Weasley, one professor, and one student (and I include
Draco in that category) will not survive.

> --Snape will be forced to eat a large quantity of crow about either
> Harry or James or both. In fact I'd settle for any humbling of
> Snape.

Don't know how to measure this one.  Certainly if this doesn't
happen, JKR will, I think, have slipped into a contemptible and
idiotic stance of approving of the abuse of children.  But I suspect
you are right, and the books are headed for the wood chipper.  So
give it 20%.

Further estimations:

-- One of the Malfoys will die, 75%.

-- The Dursleys will end up staying at Grimmauld Place, 25%.

-- There will be some sort of attack on Privet Drive, 90%.

-- Ron and Hermione's presence at Privet Drive will provide for much-
needed comedy, 80%.

-- Neville will be a Hogwarts professor, 85%.

-- Harry will end up being an Auror (although why he would want to I
can't imagine), 65%.

--  Ron and Hermione will be Head Boy and Head Girl.  Harry and Ginny
will be Head Boy and Head Girl in the first post-Voldy year, thus
allowing Hermione to fulfill her academic destiny, Ronniekins to get
a boost, and Harry to recapitulate James' career at Hogwarts down to
being Head Boy without being prefect and marrying his Head Girl.
I'll give it 50%.

-- Percy is not Dumbledore's spy.  90%.

-- Lupin will live and marry Tonks.  85%.

-- Lupin will play a major role in DH, 40% (although why she's kept
him around like a wolf pelt all this time I can't say, otherwise).

-- JKR will reveal enough of the future in the last chapter to
forestall any sequels.  This will allow her to send Harry over the
Reichenbach Falls without killing him.  35%.

--  The mysterious drawing on the spine of the British Edition is a
Time Turner in cross section.  1%.

--  The mysterious drawing on the spine of the British Edition is the
symbol of the Unspeakables.  2%

--  The mysterious drawing on the spine of the British Edition, being
a variant of the alchemical symbol for fire, relates to the Ministry
project to assemble an army of Heliopaths.  2%.


Lupinlore