Hogwarts population and Ships that go *boom* in the night (no magids involved)

[Christian Stubø]

No: HPFGUIDX 10877

--- "naama " <naama_gat at hotmail.com> skrev: 
> --- In HPforGrownups at egroups.com, "Jim Ferer" <jferer at y...> wrote:
> > In other words, 6,000 if there are three hundred students.  We're 
> not 
> > far apart. (Me 5,000 or less).  Neither of us have adjusted for 
> > muggle-borns like Hermione; we can't without knowing how many. So 
> the 
> > wizard population would be even lower.
> > 
> 
> Ummm... I'm wondering - did you take into account wizard longevity? 
> If wizards normal span of life is about 200 years (seeing that 
> Dumbledore is 150 and considered old but is still very vigorous), 
> then the ratio wizard adults:children will be much higher than in 
> muggle populations (but I'm too lazy to try and do the precise 
> calculations).
> 
> Naama

I took wizard-longevity into account in my calculations.  I took data from the general
registry office of scotland, where they have a table breaking down the population of
scotland in to yearclasses, i.e. showing how many scots there are aged 0-1 year old, how
many aged 1-2years old, etc.  I then assumed an identical shape for the agewise
distribution.  In the average muggle-population, people aged 11-18 years constitue
roughly 1/10th of the population, meaning in the wizard-population, the corresponding
number should be roughly half.

Further on population - I assumed that Hogwarts covered all of Great Britain and Northern
Ireland, the Republic of Ireland, Channel Islands, Gibraltar, Falklands, etc. but *not*
Canada, Australi, New Zealand, etc.  The muggle-population of the territories included is
almost excactly 1/100 of the world-population, and if you assume uniform world-wide
distribution of wizards, then the wizard-population of same area is 1/100 of the world
wizard-population.  A population of 5000 wizards in great Britain+Ireland means a total
of 500 000 wizards worldwide.  In GoF, when going to the Quidditch World Cup, Mr.
Weasley, who was involved to a degree in the preparations of the World Cup, tells Harry
that there are one hundred thousand wizards coming to see the worldcup.  I think that
alone supports a world-wide wizard-population larger than 500 000.

On another note (quite tongue-in-cheek) - I am having trouble deciding whether the ships
SS H/H and SS H/H are battleships or luxuryliners, though in many cases, I believe the
former to be accurate (at leats at times, though it seems they have been given a refit
recently - I have however seen them exchange 2700lbs APC-shells with a passion).  Just
take note - there are other ships out here too.  Of course, the venerable old S/S Chang
Potter is now relegated to auxiliary duties only, but there are flotillas of
torpedo-craft out there whose greatest joy is to cause general disturbance along the
major shipping-lanes?  The most noticeable flotilla is lead by the flotilla-leader HMS
Black Lupin  (1495 tons standard, 36.75kts, 6350 nm at 15kts, nine 4.7in QF MkIX, eight
21in TT).  ;-)  

(Were you aware that the Royal Navy of Britain has had in its service ships bearing names
like HMS Bradford, HMS Pansy, HMS Petunia, HMS Lily, HMS Keith, HMS Basilisk, HMS
Kimberley, HMS Cassandra and, not the least,  HMS Wizard?)

Greetings
CPO Stub - torpedo officer (bucking under the average pressure of eight digests per day
from this list alone)

=====
"There are two trillion six-houndred and sixtyfive billion  eight-houndred and sixtysix million, seven-houndred and fortysix thousand, six-houndred and sixtyfour litte devils in the world"
---------------------------------------------
Christian Stub
Student of Technology, architectura navalis

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