[HPforGrownups] Re: What Dumbledore (doesn't) knows

[fruitloophotty at aol.com]

No: HPFGUIDX 18344

Naama wrote:
It's the "the butler did it!" 
kind of solution - pick the least likely character and make him the 
murderer. With no build up. That's what I call a mechanical 
solution, and since JKR is not given to that kind of plotting, I can 
only assume that she made this major plot change at a late stage, 
after a lot of (real) Moody stuff was already written." 

Amy responded:
"This is where we will all just have to speculate until the 
publication  of the Rowling Notebooks(TM), but I'd bet Galleons to 
gherkins that Moody=Crouch was worked out long before book 4 was 
written.  It is a far-fetched solution because of the Dumbledore 
problem, but it's no more un-built-up-to than Quirrell's the bad guy, 
or Riddle's bad and  Ginny's opening the Chamber, or Sirius is good-
Scabbers is Pettigrew-Lupin's a werewolf, IMO."

--Hmm... Until I read all these recent messages, I never really noticed any 
problems with the Moody=Crouch theory. The main inconsistency we seem to have 
here is how Dumbledore wouldn't notice the switch. Wouldn't Dumbledore have 
been on his guard throughout the year, esp. since he even bothered to hire 
Moody in the first place? I recall Sirius saying something in a letter to 
Harry along the lines of, "...they're saying he(Dumbledore) got Moody out of 
retirement, which means he's reading the signs, even if no one else is." So, 
Dumbledore knew along something fishy was going on, and it just bugs me that 
he wouldn't keep an eye on Moody. And Crouch supposedly made the switch the 
night Moody reported someone prowling outside his house, right? I'm not 
really sure if that's right, but if so, you would think that his good friend 
Arthur Weasley would notice the change, if not Dumbledore. 

I'm still not sure which side I'm taking on this matter. There is still the 
possibility that no one would notice the switch. Do we know how close of a 
relationship Moody and Dumbledore had? Did they talk to each other on 
day-to-day basis? And as for knowing the real-Moody's personality traits, 
everyone knew he was extremely paranoid, so not-Moody could easily improvise 
on that trait, plus, as someone mentioned, he could always question 
real-Moody in the trunk. Oh my, what a run-on sentence. I really have no idea 
if any of this makes sense. It sure does in my head.

--Connie, who managed to confuse herself utterly with this whole message.


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