Voldemort's Resurrection WAS The Spying Game and the Shrieking Shack

[marinafrants]

No: HPFGUIDX 39774

--- In HPforGrownups at y..., "grey_wolf_c" <greywolf1 at j...> wrote:
> Marina said:
(about Wormtail's escape)
 So Dumbledore carefully
> > plans this incredibly risky and complex charade, requiring a great 
> > deal of luck, precision timing, and Oscar-caliber acting on
Snape's
> > part -- and then he *completely fails to anticipate his own plan's
> > biggest consequence?*
> 
> (OK; for the fourth time in the ongoing series) But D knew it was 
> coming! He had engineered that way. What he didn't see was the 
> Portkey!Cup (why else, I insist, would Cedric be the only back-up
Harry 
> has in the graveyard scene?).

So what was Dumbledore expecting -- that Wormtail would run off and
find Voldemort and then the two of them would just hang around Albania
for the next ten years, wondering how to get Harry out of Hogwarts? 
It was impossible for Dumbledore to predict the Portkey Plot, but if
he was planning all this he certainly should've anticipated that
Voldemort with Wormtail's assistance could come back a lot sooner than
Voldemort without Wormtail's assistance.  Especially since, as both
yuo and Wormtail himself have pointed out, it didn't need to be
Harry's blood for the potion to work.  In fact, Dumbledore got lucky
that Voldemort and Wormtail (and Crouch, Jr.) came up with the Portkey
Plot, as that gave him extra time.  They could've grabbed any random
Auror off the street and used his or her blood.  Hell, they could've
used Moody, instead of using him for Polyjuice fodder, and come back
nearly a year earlier.

No, no matter how I look at it, it still seems that Dumbledore
would've done much better to clear Sirius and hand Wormtail over to
the Dementors.  The benefits of the life-debt just don't outweigh the
resulting drawbacks.  (Well, there's a good chance that the life-debt
will be crucial in the end, because of the foreshadowing JKR has done
about it, but that's metathinking. :-)

Part of successful strategy is knowing when *not* to make a move, when
to sit tight and let the enemy dig his own grave.  From that
perspective, it seems that Voldemort proved to be the better
stragetist post-PS/SS, patiently biding his time in Albania until
Dumbledore obligingly sent him a willing servant.


Marina
rusalka at ix.netcom.com