[HPforGrownups] The Spying Game Part II - I want you to DIE, Mr Potter.

[Alexander]

No: HPFGUIDX 40055

  Greetings!

> "bluesqueak" <pipdowns at etchells0.demon.co.uk> wrote to us
> about this "Spying Game" theories.

  Indeed, an excellent work. Actually, I have always been a
fan of the idea that Dumbledore-Voldemort war was waged
mostly by spies and agents, and I liked your work a lot.

> It's far more likely that this inability of other Wizards
> to hit Harry is a defensive spell Harry doesn't yet
> realise he's casting. The number of times the spells are
> described as hitting something else instead suggests that
> it may well be an ability to deflect spells - make them go
> over your head, around you, or to hit something else which
> will absorb some of their power. It's not a purely
> defensive 'bounce off' shield, or Ron and Hermione would
> have been hit in the QWC.

  An excellent observation. Several months ago I nurtured
the idea that "since spells can be dodged, the best DADA
teacher is a martial arts sensei". Now, if it is only Harry
who is actively dodging the spells, my theory needs certain
re-examination.

  However I must still defend my theory (I don't give up
that easy ;). After all, though Harry did dodge spells a
lot, *did it surprise anybody*? No. Can someone remember a
case when some other wizard dodging a spell? Maybe. I can't
at the moment, but I will try to find such examples, or
maybe somebody else on the List will provide them.

> That Harry turns out to be so powerful he can't be killed,
> can't be beaten to his knees, and Voldemort himself is
> stuck in a fight that can only end in him either running
> (bad) or being killed (worse).

> However, if Harry himself is convinced he's going to be
> killed by Voldemort, he would probably grab the first
> available chance of escape. It would be relatively easy to
> 'let' him run; then to cry out something along the lines
> of 'Stun him, you fools! Don't let him near the Cup!'

  Maybe, maybe. I appreciate your work, but...

*** If "Spying Games" theory is true, then Voldemort had
made a BIG mistake ***

  A mistake I had never forgiven to my enemies (in games, of
course ;).

  He has put a lot of effort into organization of this duel.
Everything was properly planned, Harry was stripped of all
those who could help him. Harry was weakened. Harry was
handled the most inappropriate weapon possible.

  In this situation batte had to go to the end.

  Duel At The Graveyard is not the last battle of the War
Between HP and TMR/V. But it is the decisive battle. For
Voldemort, failure to kill Harry means losing the war. From
now on, he can only hope for a miracle.

  I know there are not many military history specialists
here, so I will repeat this once again: no matter your
chances, decisive battle must be fought to the end.

  I refuse to accept the idea that climax of the story is in
Book 7. From my (military history fan) point of view, climax
of the series is the Graveyard Scene. Harry demonstrated
that Voldemort *already* cannot kill him. Even though Harry
was weakened and softened and handled the most inappropriate
weapon.

  With every day passing, situation will only become worse
for Voldemort. There is no way of reversing that. *Never*
again he will have the chances he had at the graveyard.

  If he did put maximum effort into killing Harry, he would
have chances to succeed. Even if majority of his DE's were
lying sprawled on the battlefield and Voldemort himself was
battered almost to the death, he would still have chances.
Now, when Harry had survived and restored his confidence,
Voldemort's chances are much worse than they could be.

  Even if Harry would prove to be stronger than Voldemort
and all his DE's combined, fight had to be to the end. The
only thing they would lose is 3 years of life. Voldemort has
accepted the possibility of defeat from the beginning. That
was defeat itself already.

  In military history there's no example of a country that
won a war after losing the decisive battle, no matter how
minor (or major) that battle would seem.

  Japan lost the Battle at Midway. Japanese admirals refused
to send remaining battleships to win or die. All battleships
that survived at Midway were destroyed in the following
years - with no positive result *at all*.

  In 1904, Russian fleet lost the Battle at Port-Arthur.
That was not a spectacular battle (unlike Tsusima), and
Russian fleet took no losses at all, just retreated back
into the port. But it was the decisive battle - and Russia
lost the Russo-Japanese war.

  In 1995, Voldemort failed to kill Harry. In 1998, we will
see Voldemort brought down, his DE's, dementors and giants
scattered and annihilated. He will be *finished* in 1998,
but he was *defeated* in 1995 - on the small graveyard near
the village of Little Gangleton.

  And one more thought for future consideration: was it
really Voldemort who arranged the Cup to be a portkey *back*
to the Hogwarts? Are you sure it was not Dumbledore? Or
(grin) Snape?

Sincerely yours,
Alexander Lomski,
Gryffindor/Slytherin crossbreed,
always happy to throw weird ideas into community.

Wednesday, June 19, 2002, 7:00 local time (GMT+2:00)