Who's going to betray the Order?

[Tom Wall]

No: HPFGUIDX 75937

acoteucla wrote:
Don't forget that the reason James switched his secret-keeper from 
Sirius to Peter was because he and Sirius suspected Lupin! If Lupin 
is exactly as he seems, then I would think he would be the LEAST 
likely choice to be the spy. So they must have had some real good 
reasons for suspecting him!


Tom adds:
This is inconclusive reasoning - it wasn't necessarily 'James and 
Sirius' that suspected Lupin in particular, nor was it true that they 
must have had 'good reasons' for suspecting him in the first place; 
rather, it was much more the case that nearly *everyone* was under 
suspicion, and very few loyalties were concrete and taken for 
granted. 

Lupin confirms in the Shrieking Shack in PoA that *Sirius* was under 
suspicion as well... in fact, as Sirius acknowledges in the Shrieking 
Shack, he should have thought Peter was the spy from the beginning, 
(the signs were there) and yet he did not. 

And Sirius himself gives us a startling account of life during one of 
Voldemort's reigns of terror; part of the turmoil was the result of a 
general feeling of mistrust. 

I personally do not think that Lupin was, or is presently spying for 
Lord Voldemort. And, based on the way we *so* mis-predicted the death 
in Book Five (only three percent of the respondents to that poll 
thought Sirius would kick the bucket - Hagrid was the frontrunner, 
followed by Dumbledore) I believe it is also likely that we won't 
come close to guessing the identity of the present spy until the 
moment is upon us. 

Actually, I kind of like it that way, myself. Keeps the edge on, 
y'know? ;-)

-Tom