Chances of Being Alive at the End of Book Seven
Yahtzee63 at aol.com
Yahtzee63 at aol.com
Thu Oct 9 20:59:17 UTC 2003
No: HPFGUIDX 82614
I thought I'd weigh in with my own take on all of this:
1) Harry -- 95% chance of survival. I think there is a possibility that JKR would kill him off at the end, but a remote one.
2) Hermione -- 95% chance of survival. I think it very unlikely Hermione will die, but if there's some huge apocalyptic battle at the very end of the series, I wouldn't say it is impossible.
3) Ron -- 85% chance of survival. I think Ron is more likely to die than the other two members of the Trio, but I think it highly unlikely as well. I think the character's been slowly developed in ways that lean against his leaving the canvas suddenly; it feels to me like JKR has been preparing him for something besides a tragic fall.
4) Dumbledore -- 10% chance of survival. I would bet he will die at the end of Book 6. I think it is just possible he might survive and be removed from Hogwarts and the war some other way -- imprisonment or some such, meaning the Order would be trying to free him. But I think it most likely he will just die.
5) Snape -- 90% chance of survival. I'm really shocked that so many people think Snape's toast. I think Snape will come through. In some ways, having him die heroically would be a really cheap and easy way out -- Snape's intentions aren't really the question, are they? The greatness of the character is that he works so hard to do the right thing and yet is such an insufferable, petty, bitter bastard; you want to admire him, but you don't want to spend any time with him, and that's a wonderful contrast. Killing him off just removes the great dramatic tension of the character -- it doesn't feel like an ending, but like a copout.
6) Lupin -- 95% chance of survival. I think JKR will leave one Marauder alive.
7) Pettigrew -- 5% chance of survival. I don't think JKR will leave THIS Marauder alive.
8) Ginny -- 85% chance of survival. I think one Weasley will die, but only one, and my money's on one of the twins. Ginny will live to fight another day, and to snog with Harry.
9) Hagrid -- 50% chance of survival. This is the one I have the least hunch about. On the one hand, he was very much the younger Harry's guide and protector and buddy, so it could make a lot of sense for him to die in the coming-of-age story. However, it seems as though JKR is setting up something big with the giants, perhaps not to play out until the very end, and I think Hagrid would play an indispensible role in all of that. So, no idea about Hagrid.
10) Neville -- 25% chance of survival. I think the poor boy is doomed, doomed, doomed.
11) Luna -- 90% chance of survival. She doesn't seem important enough to kill, so unless she's a total redshirt character -- which I don't think is so -- Luna makes it.
12) Draco -- 60% chance of survival. I think he could get killed off a lot more easily than some of you do -- either through some redemptive act (though I hope not) or while fighting on the wrong side. I think it most likely Draco will end the series in much the same way as as Scooby-Doo villain, i.e., being dragged off to jail, snarling, "It would have worked if it weren't for those darn kids!"
13) Voldemort -- 0% chance of survival. "I have never died." Well, he'd better get ready.
Yahtzee
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