Crying wolf?

[kneazle255]

No: HPFGUIDX 81939

--- In HPforGrownups at yahoogroups.com, B Arrowsmith 
<arrowsmithbt at b...> wrote:
Kneasy:
Lupin *knows*. Just seeing the names on the map would not have given 
him this immediate grasp  of the situation. The first natural 
reaction would be a toss-up between "Sirius! Harry's in danger!" 
and "Peter! He's not dead after all! What the hell is going on?" 
Remember, at this stage Peter still is assumed to be an innocent 
victim. So he rushes off, from his office to the Shack.  Without 
telling anyone. But somehow he has  all the answers, just from the 
map. Likely?

Kneazle255:
I have always assumed that Lupin, after the initial reaction you 
describe so well, quickly came to the realization that Peter must 
have had something to hide. To paraphrase Sirius, if Peter's so 
innocent, why did he hide for 12 years? Lupin's answer to that 
question was that Peter is guilty. 

It must have really struck Lupin like an epiphany. The answer would 
have dovetailed perfectly with what he knew about Peter and Sirius' 
personalities. 

He may also have considered carefully Sirius'incursion into the dorm. 
He did not kill Harry. He was after something else, Remus guesses. It 
may have put a seed of doubt in RL's mind. 

Does Remus has at least some lingering doubts about Sirius' guilt? 
Despite the danger to Harry, Remus apparently never tells anyone 
about wormtail, prongs or padfoot. 

Another possibility is that Remus was using Harry as bait so he could 
have a shot at killing Sirius himself. A totally personal vendetta. 
So he tells no one about Padfoot because he *wants* Sirius to enter 
Hogwarts and make an attempt on Harry that so that he can corner him.