What's he up to?

[Jen Reese]

No: HPFGUIDX 94887

Kneasy:
> By now you should have read Jen's post 94797 which may have filled 
in 
> a few of the gaps for you. Thank you, Jen! It's always a pleasure 
to come
> across a mind as suspicious as my own.

Jen: Wow! That's high praise, Kneasy. Maybe I've read too many of 
your posts.....

Kneasy: 
> I'm pretty sure that Lucius knows exactly what Snape's position 
is; it'd
> be difficult for him not to. Fellow DEs and Snape suddenly stops 
coming
> down to the Scout Hut where they learn to tie knots in Muggles, 
naturally
> he'd wonder what was wrong. Then the show trials  after Voldy  
vanished
> where Snape is revealed as an anti-Voldy agent. 

Jen: Here's where Lucius and Snape are weak--they have to trust each 
other to survive. Lucius is Snape's link to Voldy and Snape is 
Lucius' link to the Order/Harry. This connection will bring at least 
one of them down.

In the meantime, what does Lucius do? On one hand, he's probably 
safer in Azkaban than fighting LV's war for him. OTOH, languishing 
in prison won't do much for the resume. To stay influential in the 
WW, he'll have to come out of the DOM mess as an innocent victim. 
(Mandy argues very persuasively in #94826 how this outcome might 
happen).

The Order will be compromised when their link to Voldy is severed 
(hehe). And Snape will be in grave danger without Lucius to 
intercede for him. After all, LV has probably kept his hands off 
Snape with assurances from Lucius that Snape is valuable and 
he'll 'keep an eye on him'. 

Jen, thinking Lucius will go first, probably around the end of Book 
6 ;)