The Timing of Lupin WAS Re: Dumbledore and Lupin

[arrowsmithbt]

No: HPFGUIDX 109169

--- In HPforGrownups at yahoogroups.com, "sophierom" <sophierom at y...> wrote:
> 
> Again, you could argue that DD somehow manipulated Fudge
> into going to Azkaban, giving Sirius the paper, and thus beginning
> the whole chain of  events.  But if you take that route, it seems to 
> me that you're arguing something close to the DD time-travel theory.  
> He would simply know too much, would be acting to begin a chain of
> events becuase he's already seen them unfold.  
> 

Kneasy:
Ooh! Wash your mouth out! Time travel indeed! No thank you.

No, DD didn't manipulate Fudge. Fudge is a baddy, either that or
weak enough to be leaned on by someone evil.

Fudge makes two visits to Azkaban.
In the first he 'just happens' to let Sirius get hold of a newspaper
that 'just happens' to  have a photograph of Peter in animagus
form on the front page. He leaves Sirius to stew for a while.

He drops in again at a later date "Just happened to be in the 
neighbourhood"and surprise, surprise, this 'just happens' to be the
night Sirius escapes.

"Oh dear. We've lost a prisoner. Good job we 'just happen' to have
some Dementors to track him down."

Dementors who strangely seem to be uninterested in Sirius and
extremely interested in Harry - in the train, on the Quidditch
Pitch, after the Shrieking Shack. In the last two instances they
*ignore* Sirius and 'just happen' to concentrate on Harry. Why? 
Because they've been told to.

Springing Sirius provides a reason for events that will result in a 
tragic "accident' where an innocent boy is kissed.
How sad. But good news for Voldy supporters.

> Sophierom:
> I don't have my book here, so I can't be sure, but isn't the reason
> Lupin doesn't bind Sirius  immediately that Lupin has seen Peter's
> name on the map, and he now  knows the Sirius is  innocent? 
> If this is the case, then of course he's going to disarm
> Harry first. He knows Harry is out for revenge, and Lupin doesn't
> want Harry hexing the wrong man.

Kneasy:
A name on a map does not make Peter innocent. 
It just makes him alive. It provides an opportunity to ask questions,
questions which are never  asked. Lupin puts words in Sirius' mouth,
Sirius doesn't have to say a damn thing. So who told Lupin? DD?