Trelawny has not lost ALL her marbles...

[Jen Reese]

No: HPFGUIDX 120199


mhbobbin:
> I'm with you.  I think JKR works overtime to convince us that 
> Trelawney is a fraud.  In  posts from the July-August period, 
there 
> was considerable discussion on this. Someone examined all of 
> Trelawney's predictions, and came up with a 50-50 ratio for 
> accuracy. Of course, some outcomes are still to be determined.
> 
> I try to focus on what Trelawney actually sees, not what she says 
> she sees.  

Jen: This is an interesting thought. Do you mean times Trelawney 
spouts off a prediction without thinking too much about it, like 
when she said Harry will have twelve children and be MOM? It would 
fit in with JKR's sly sense of humor to give Trelawney some glory in 
the end.

mhbobbin:
> I'm particularly interested in that prediction in OOTP 
> where she sees danger (yet again) for Harry in everything, 
including 
> when he's eating his porridge. That one raised my eyebrows, along 
> with Harry's prediction to the OWLS Examiner that she would meet a 
> dark, soggy stranger. (Wormtail anyone?)

Jen: Ooh, that's good. The examiner was Marchbanks, and since she 
loudly reported knowing Dumbledore and vouching for his skills, 
maybe she became a target.

That makes me wonder about Wormtail again. Maybe his job in OOTP was 
searching for DD using his animagus abilities? Who better to search 
the Hog's Head and all the little nooks and crannies of the WW. Then 
when Prof. Marchbanks starts praising Dumbledore, Wormtail decides 
to capture her and Crucio for info about DD. After all, Neville said 
his Gran and Marchbanks are friends and both support Dumbledore. 
They could have been helping him hide out somewhere.....<beg>

Jen