Lupin is Ever So Evil, Part Two--The Spy (LONG)

[nkafkafi]

No: HPFGUIDX 130653

> Pippin:
> With this part of the theory we move to firmer ground. 

Neri:
Indeed. Since we know so little about The Prank, it is possible to
invent anything and almost nothing can be contradicted. But here we
have considerably more details, so building an alternative story that
actually works becomes harder.  

> Pippin:
> But Peter was the secret-keeper and betrayed the secret, 
> doesn't that make him the spy?  Well, no, it doesn't. 
> The spy is linked to Voldemort's second in command <snip> 

Neri:
I have always took the "Voldemort's second-in-command" to be a
complete fabrication, a typical Daily Prophet catch phrase. I wouldn't
be surprised if it was coined by Rita Skeeter's quick-quote quill. It
is only said in regard to Sirius, with the obvious author's intention
to make him the big bad red herring in the beginning of PoA, and only
by characters that knew nothing about the truth: Fudge and (for
haven's sake) Stun Shunpike.

The idea that a fresh student out of Hogwarts would become Voldemort's
second-in-command in just one year sounds pretty absurd anyway,
especially if he's a spy. Since when are spies made second-in-command?
A second-in-command sits at HQ so he can, well, command, and the
others should know him so they would, well, take his commands.
But which DEs knew ESE!Lupin, and that he's the Big Boss'
second-in-command?

Karkaroff apparently didn't know. Snape didn't know either. He may
have suspected, but apparently not enough to tell Dumbledore, and even
in the Shack he only accused Lupin with helping Sirius, not with being
a spy. So who did know? Bellatrix? Lucius? Frankly, do you see Lucius
Malfoy takings orders from a poor Gryffindor in shabby robes, a person
who is only a year in the DE organization, 5 yrs his junior, and a
werewolf to boot? Can you see Bella
I-learned-the-Dark-Arts-from-the-Dark-Lord-himself taking orders from
"a filthy half-blood"?

 
> Pippin:
> The only evidence against Peter as the spy  is the 
> confession that CAPSLOCK!Sirius bullied out of him

Neri:
Sirius was 11 long years in Azkaban with many DEs, which he heard
talking and screaming in their sleep. During all this time, why hadn't
he managed to discover the simple "fact" that the traitor and the spy
were two different people? He knew Peter was the traitor, but he
wasn't close to the possibility that Lupin was the spy, since he had
suspected it himself for some time. How come he wasn't even suspecting
it anymore? 

In the Shack Sirius says the DEs think that Peter is dead, and they
think that "the double-crosser double-crossed them". Why would they
think that Peter is a "double-crosser"? If they captured him only a
week before GH and bullied him to reveal the secret, and then their
boss got vaporized in GH, they can hardly blame Peter that he's a
"double crosser" who "double-crossed" them. They had bullied and
forced this information out of him. 

But most of all, why weren't they saying anything about the spy who
had led them to Peter? The one who should have warned them about the
trap lurking in GH? The one who's still *alive*, the one who had
escaped Azkaban completely. Why isn't *he* a double-crosser? Why
weren't the DEs in Azkaban screaming in their sleep "it's the damn
werewolf! We should have never trusted a werewolf! He betrayed us all
to this hell while he's out there laughing at us!"  

Neri