Chapter Fourteen of HBP

[rbookworm46]

No: HPFGUIDX 128762

lupinlore wrote:
However, I've been reminded that the chapter entitled "Felix 
Felicis" is numbered Chapter 14.  Chapter Fourteen is awfully late 
to be introducing the new DADA teacher. 

Hickengruendler:
Mad-Eye Moody, Dolores Umbridge and Gilderoy Lockhart (therefore all 
DADA teachers who had chapters named after them) all were introduced 
in a chapter before the one named after them. Professor Umbridge is 
the 12th chapter of OotP and Mad-Eye Moody the 13th of GoF. 
Therefore it's not totally impossible that this time chapter 14 is 
named after the DADA teacher. 

SSSusan:
I agree with Hickengruendler. If we consider think that a *lot* will
potentially be happening in the summer, I don't think Chapter 14 is
too late.


Bookworm:
Let's look at this scientifically <did *I* really say that?...> :
Book 1: Snape makes his dramatic entrance in "The Potions
Master" Ch 8 of 17 (47% - almost half-way through the book).
Book 2: We see Lockhart at Hogwarts in "Gilderoy Lockhart" Ch
6 of 18 (33%).
Book 3: We see Lupin in class in "The Boggart in the
Wardrobe" Ch 7 of 22 (32%).  [I find it interesting that there is
no chapter named after him.]
Book 4: Mad-eye Moody makes his teaching debut in "The
Unforgivable Curses" Ch 14 of 37 (38%).
Book 5: We see Umbridge in class in "Detention with Dolores"
Ch 13 of 38 (34%).
Book 6: "Felix Felicis" is Ch 14 of ?

Book 1: 309 pp/17 Ch = 18.2 pages per chapter
Book 2: 341 pp/18 Ch = 18.9
Book 3: 435 pp/22 Ch = 19.8
Book 4: 734 pp/37 Ch = 19.8
Book 5: 896 pp/38 Ch = 23.6
Average pages per chapter (2715 pp/ 132 Ch) = 20.6

So using the average, in book 6, chapter 14 will start on about page 
288 (total 672 pages) or 43% of the way through the book.  If we use 
an average of 19 pages per chapter (the average for books 1-4), then 
chapter 14 will start about page 266, or 40% of the way through the 
book.  This is later than we see the DADA professor in the classroom 
in books 2-5 (not much later than book 4), but earlier than book 1.

So my conclusion is that it is not definite that Felix Felicis is 
the new DADA teacher, but IMO, it is highly likely :-)  I'd ask the 
rhetorical question of who the new DADA is, but IIRC, none of them 
have been even mentioned before the book they took the post, so I 
doubt we have any other clues/hints.

Ravenclaw Bookworm