NOT AGAIN! - WW Population

[Steve]

No: HPFGUIDX 141716

Actually, I made this calculation for a dicussion in another group,
and now that I think about it, I may have done the same thing in this
group in the very distant past.

First let me say this is just some information, I AM NOT trying to
start the whole 'how big is the Wizard World' debate all over again.
Beside, JKR has as good as said that it will never add up.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

CIA World Book of Facts.
http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/uk.html
United Kingdom

Total Population:
60,441,457 (July 2005 est.)

Population by Age structure:
0-14 years: 17.7% (male 5,490,592/female 5,229,691)
15-64 years: 66.5% (male 20,329,272/female 19,855,862)
65 years and over: 15.8% (male 4,063,357/female 5,472,683) (2005 est.)

Sadly, it's difficult to break the population downs into smaller
division, so we will have to work with averages.

Population per Year of Each Age Group:
17.7% of 60,441,457 = 10,698,138 / 14 years = 764,153 per year

66.5% of 60,441,457 = 40,193,566 / 50 years = 803,871 per year

Population per year for Secondary Education Age:
Years 11 through 14 = 764,153 per year * 4 years = 3,056,612

Years 15 through 17 = 803,871 per year * 3 years = 2,411,613

Total population in the age range of Hogwarts students = 3,056,612 +
2,411,613 = 5,468,225

Ratio of the Total Population of the UK to Students of Secondary
School Age=
60,441,457 / 5,468,225 = 11.05:1

So roughly one student for every 11 citizens.

If Hogwarts is 280 student then by extrapolation the wizarding world is  

280 * 11.05 = 3,094
400 = 4,420
600 = 6,630
800 = 8,840
1000= 11,050

Seems rather small, but I guess if you look at various towns with that
approximate population, they are significant and diverse communtities.

One additional comment, Wizard appear to live close to or slightly
over 200 years of age. That throws things off significantly. Only
15.8% of the muggle population is over 65. The wizard world could
easily be 2 to 3 times that much. That would noticably but not
substantially increase the numbers shown above. If there are any math
wiz's out there who would like to correct my number for the increased
number of older people, feel free to do so and enlighten us all.

Of course, this doesn't prove anything. The wizard world is as a large
as JKR and/or you imagine it to be. JKR said herself, that the numbers
would never add up.

Just killing some time.

Steve/bboyminn