LV's bigger plan (was:Fawkes possible absence)

[Jen Reese]

No: HPFGUIDX 166381

> Carol responds:
> Whatever else Voldemort may be planning, the plot to force Draco to
> try to kill dumbledore, about which the three adults apparently know,
> and the Vanishing Pla Cabinet Plan, about which snape, at least, does
> not know, are undeniably real, as is the advantage to Voldemort if
> Dumbledore dies. (I'm still hoping, however, that he'll develop a
> false sense of security as a result.) To throw in a Prophecy plan with
> no hints whatever would not be "playing fair." 

Jen: I wasn't referring to the prophecy at this point, I was answering
whether we see a plot to kill Dumbledore throughout HBP.  What I
see at Spinner's End is three adults who say in a very circuitous 
way that LV's plan is for Draco to kill someone, later confirmed
to be Dumbledore, and that both Snape and Narcissa appear
to believe Draco can't complete the task.  They go on to conclude
LV's real plan is to punish Lucius when Draco fails.  (Bella is
apparently more interested in the honor bestowed on Draco
than whether he is able to do the job.)

Snape said Voldemort plans for him to do the deed in the end,
yet never once do we get a clue Voldemort has approached him
with a request or demanded he kill Dumbledore in Draco's place
when Draco doesn't succeed.  If Voldemort really plans for
Dumbledore to die, he's not taking advantage of his inside man who
is trusted by Dumbledore and has the advantage of surprise.  Also, 
Voldemort didn't ask Snape  to help Draco with the cabinents, or even
tell him about the plan.  Voldemort essentially placed a double-agent
at Hogwarts and is cutting him out of the loop at the most crucial time.
 
Therefore, the only legitimate plot I see to kill Dumbledore is the one
hatched by Narcissa and sealed by Snape with the UV.  And if Snape
took the UV never intending to kill Dumbledore, but die himself, then
unfortunately his plan went awry.

And that means the only plan Voldemort *appears* to have in HBP is to 
punish Lucius and eventually, as Harry discovers as the story moves along,
kill all three Malfoys.  A plan that has nothing to do with his real enemies,
Dumbledore and Harry.  

Jen