Trelawney, not as wrong or fake as we all think?

[Tandra]

No: HPFGUIDX 168419

So as I've been going through the books again some things have hit me.
In this case it's the first interaction Trelawney has with the
students in PoA.

She starts to babble on, or so we think, randomly to the students. A
couple of her flippant statements stood out to me. PoA (US) Pg. 103
"By the way dear," she shot at Pavrati Patil, "beware a red-headed
man." Now, I look a this two ways...Pavrati is a twin and it's
actually Padma that ends up being hurt by Ron in the 4th book. A
simple slip up when talking to a girl's twin. She could also have
meant it for Lavender who we all know sat with her in class (and was
used by Ron in book 6). Which then leads me to think that maybe the
"warning" to Lavender was meant for Parvati? But I'm not sure if
anything bad happened to her in the book besides Harry being a jerk at
the Ball.

Next the "prediction" that Neville would break the cups. PoA (US) Pg.
104 "...ah and dear" she caught Neville by the arm as he made his way
to stand up - "after you've broken your first cup, would you be so
kind as to select one of the blue patterned ones? I'm rather attached
to the pink."  Ok again not a far fetch, Neville is a klutz and could
have just been nervous after she singled him out, but none the less
broke the mug.

PoA (US) Pg. 106 "The falcon...my dear you have a deadly enemy." Ok
again not a far fetch, everyone did know about Harry and Voldy (as
Hermione pointed out lol), but still accurate. "the club...an attack"
ok now take your pick on that one there. How many times was Harry
attacked after that in this book and others. "The skull, danger in
your path." again take your pick there, and then the final prediction
of the Grim. Now, I'm sure most of us dismissed this, but in a way it
is true no? Harry is marked for death. It is around him. He has to
either kill or be killed. We see that she has actual Seer ability due
to the two prophecies we have seen her accurately make. I think she
can See, but is just a bit rusty, or doesn't always predict what she
Sees the right way, or at least convey it the right way.

One last point:

"I dare not [join the staff table], Headmaster! If I join the table,
we shall be thirteen! Nothing could be more unlucky! Never forget that
when thirteen dine together, the first to rise will be the first to
die!". Now in OoTP, Harry, Ron, Hermione, Arthur Weasley, Molly
Weasley, Fred, George, Bill, Ginny, Lupin, Sirius, Tonks and Mundungus
(13 characters) dined together. On page 86, the first line describes
Sirius rising from his chair. Sirius died later in the book.

Ok I'm not the best at making points I admit but hopefully you can see
what I'm saying. Please feel free to comment. (and be nice lol)

Tandra