Trelawney, not as wrong or fake as we all think?

[Zara]

No: HPFGUIDX 168421

> Tandra: 
>and then the final prediction
> of the Grim. Now, I'm sure most of us dismissed this, but in a way 
it
> is true no? Harry is marked for death. 

zgirnius:
Of course I will be nice! (grins, not *too* toothily). Though I don't 
think Harry is marked for death. I think he will live.

Actually, I think this is a case where she Sees truly but fails to 
interpret it correctly, something she does a lot. She sees a Grim, 
when what is there is a big, black dog. In other words, she sees that 
Sirius will be coming into Harry's life, which he does. (Also of 
interest, 'Padfoot' is an alternative name for a Grim).

> Tandra:
> One last point:
> 
> "I dare not [join the staff table], Headmaster! If I join the table,
> we shall be thirteen! Nothing could be more unlucky! Never forget 
that
> when thirteen dine together, the first to rise will be the first to
> die!". 

zgirnius:
In PoA is another case when she predicts truly but makes the 
incorrect interpretation, in my view. She thinks Ron or Harry will 
die because they get up to leave. However, the first to rise was 
Dumbledore, who with his usual politeness rose to greet her when she 
came down to join them. He was, of course, the first of those present 
at that meal to die.

I had not noticed the OotP case before. Nice catch!