Snape Timeline....

[bboyminn]

No: HPFGUIDX 188600



--- In... Bart Lidofsky <bart at ...> wrote:
>
> Bart:
> There's been talk about Snape and his role in the VW I
> (Voldemort War I). Here's what I gathered: From the Prophecy,
> it is not clear exactly when it was made. ...seems to imply 
> that Harry was either just about to be born or had been 
> recently born when it was made. Certainly, if Snape did not 
> know of Harry's existence, that would explain why he didn't 
> realize that Morty would go after Harry. 
> 
> I would like to posit that Snape spent from 6 months to a year as a 
> spy for OOP Mark 1 before Voldemort fell.
> 
>     ...
> 
>     Bart
>


bboyminn:

It seems the Prophecy is predicting the future, not the past.
'The one' is about to be born.

Harry is 1 year and 3 months old when his parents are killed.

Snape realized Voldemort was after Harry and family just
before or just after Harry was born.

The thing we don't know is the month in which Dumbledore
talked to Trelawney. Likely it was certainly before the
beginning of the next school year. But, we don't know that
if was before the end of the existing school year. So, it
seems there is a window of time in which the meeting could
have taken place; somewhere between March and September.
Though between March and the end of July makes more sense.

Now from that date, we have a span of time until Harry is
born. Then we have a full year until Harry's first birthday,
then we have an additional 3 months (Aug, Sept, Oct) until
Harry's parents die (Oct 31). 

So, I suspect Snape had joined Dumbledore at LEAST a full
year before the death of the Potters; depending on when we
think the meeting with Trelawney occurred. 

We have only the span of time between when Snape relayed
the Prophesy to Voldemort, and when Voldemort analysed the
situation and decided it was Harry or Neville, and that 
Harry represented the greater threat. I really don't see
that taking more than a few weeks. 

I suspect, Voldemort merely enquired who was pregnant, then
waited to see who had a boy, and then judged those who had
boy babies, to determine which was the greater threat.

Now that assume, that Voldemort assumed it was a boy baby who
was going to be the threat. To, the extent that we know 
though, only two babies were born at the end of July; Neville
and Harry. 

Again, I don't see Voldemort taking a lot of time. Very 
quickly after the end of July, I see Voldemort making his 
choice. And that means Snape was almost immediately in 
Dumbledore's camp as soon as Harry was born. So, again,
easily a full year.

Steve/bboyminn