Prank WAS: Re: CHAPDISC: DH33, The Prince's Tale

[pippin_999]

No: HPFGUIDX 184905

 
> Alla:
> 
> Um, if he enters Shack not knowing what exactly keeps Marauders
safe,  then yes, it seems to me that he is looking for certain death
OR he  is so arrogant that despite not knowing why Marauders hang out
with  werewolf and lived, he thinks he has his own methods for keeping
 werewolf in check.

Pippin:
Or, he simply doesn't think that far ahead, just as Sirius does not
think far enough ahead to anticipate the consequences to Lupin.  IMO,
Sirius is not thinking past the glorious moment when Snape gets what
he deserves, and Snape is not thinking past the glorious moment when
he gets proof of his theory. It is like Harry going to rescue Sirius
from the Ministry. He never plans what he's going to do when he
actually gets there. He doesn't think he has some means of fighting
Voldemort  and it doesn't occur to him that he needs one. 

The thing I can't get past is that Sirius does know that Snape is
going to encounter a loose werewolf, and he withholds that information
very deliberately from Snape. It would be different if Sirius did not
have any more information about what is in the tunnel than Snape has.
Then I would say that Sirius was just hoping that Snape would get
himself into trouble, and though that was still a nasty thing to do,
he wasn't knowingly withholding information about a life-threatening
situation. 


> Alla:
> 
> Bottom line to me that no matter how harmful for Snape's health this
 information could have been, Sirius could have never been hundred
percent sure that Snape will have used it. Never, ever. 

Pippin:
Why is the standard 100 percent? Could Voldemort be 100 per cent sure
that Harry would go to the Ministry? Of course not. 

 And yet we don't say that Voldemort didn't set Harry up.    Voldemort
knows there are Death Eaters waiting to capture Harry and Harry
doesn't, though he's been warned that Sirius and Voldemort can't
possibly be there and it has to be some kind of trick.


Pippin